The CAS project Stability and Change is hosting a workshop in the Turret Room at CAS.


For invited guests only.



9:45 - Arrival with coffee and tea

10:00 - Nils Lid Hjort & Håvard Hegre: Welcome and Introductions

10:10 - Nils Lid Hjort: Estimating the number of killed persons in Guatemala during 1978 to 1996, with confidence distributions

10:45 - Patrick Ball: Data Processing at the Colombian Truth Commission: Schema unification, multiple imputation of missing values, machine learning on text, estimation of unobserved cases, and analysis

11:45 - Lunch at Hotel Gabelshus

12:45 - Helge Brunborg: How can mortality due to armed violence be
estimated? Methods and data sources

13:20 - Stina Högbladh: Counting Fatalities: UCDP’s Approach

13:50 - Break

14:00 - Michael Spagat: Recording, Counting and Estimation of War Deaths

14:35 - Aliaksandr Hubin: Applications of multilevel regression with poststratification

15:05 - Break

15:15 - Paola Vesco: The underreported death toll of wars: A probabilistic reassessment from a structured expert elicitation